Disturbing Trends In Consumer Credit

Tuesday
March 16, 2010

According to a report released by FICO* at the end of February, recent credit behavior has shifted significantly from historical trends. Dr. Mark Greene, CEO of FICO, says:

“We’re identifying situations that to our knowledge have never been seen before. Economic instability is creating unknown risk in lender’s credit portfolios as well as counter-intuitive trends in consumer behavior.”

In 2005, credit card accounts were 3 times more likely to become 90 days delinquent than mortgages.  In 2008, credit card accounts were 1.6 times more likely to become delinquent than mortgages. 

For the first time in 2009, 0.3% of consumers with FICO scores between 760-789 (generally considered by lenders to be an excellent score worthy of their best loans) defaulted on their mortgages vs. 0.1% that defaulted on their credit cards! It is difficult to speculate what is causing the shift in people with high FICO scores to default on their mortgages rather than on their credit cards. However, the more value a home loses, the more likely an owner will consider what’s known as a “strategic default”. (See my article: “Should You Default On Your Mortgage?”) One possible reason may be that if a homeowner is faced with losing their home anyway, there is little reason to continue paying the mortgage. However, keeping their credit cards intact allows them to use the money to buy groceries or keep the lights turned on.  

In addition, FICO uncovered evidence that lenders tightened their criteria for new loans in 2008-2009 and began to “cherry pick” the kinds of borrowers they would extend credit to. In 2005, nearly 46% of consumers who opened a new mortgage had FICO scores below 700. In 2008, this dropped to just 25%. The credit card industry experienced a similar shift: in 2005, 51 % of consumers with a new credit card had FICO scores below 700. That dropped to just 38% in 2008.

To learn how you can prevent losing your home, go to my “Foreclosure Prevention” section now.

“To Your Success!”
mary!

 (*FICO is a trademark of the Fair Isaac Corporation which first developed a credit scoring system in 1958 to assist lenders in determining the creditworthiness of consumers. Lenders use a consumer’s FICO score to determine how much to loan and at what interest rate. )

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Is A Foreclosure Your Best Deal?

Thursday
March 11, 2010
 
 
Many first time buyers, anxious to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit that is quickly expiring in just 50 days, call our company wanting to look at foreclosures. The idea is that a buyer will be able to pick up a foreclosure at a lower price than a ‘conventional’ sale. However, once they get inside the property, they begin to understand why a foreclosure is priced so much lower than other properties.
 
Most properties that have been taken back by the banks have been sitting empty for quite some time. It is amazing how many bad things can happen to a property that has been sitting empty for awhile! And that is before taking into consideration the vandalism done by the vacating owner. Sometimes the vandalism is purely malicious – because the homeowner is upset about losing their home. At other times, it is economic. The fixtures are being sold for whatever money they can muster. 
 
One property I looked at recently, the owner had removed the heating system and punctured a hole in the water main coming into the building. When I went down into the basement, there was a fountain of water coming up from the floor and a resultant moutain of ice sitting in the middle of the basement. With warm weather approaching, mold will most certainly begin to grow where  previously there was ice.
Broken water main

Broken Water Main

Missing Furnace

Missing Furnace

  

Ice From Broken Water Main
Ice From Broken Water Main

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Occasionally, we will come across a property that is in relatively good condition. With the downturn in the real estate market, many contractors have found themselves out of work. A home completely rehabbed by a contractor who just couldn’t bear to vandalize the work he himself did will often be a great bargain for a first time homebuyer. But those properties are the exception, not the rule. And you have to kiss a lot of frogs before finding your prince.

Bottom line:  most first time homebuyers are not equipped to handle the repairs required in purchasing a foreclosed home. They will do better to look at an estate sale or perhaps a situation where the seller – for personal reasons – must sell quickly. There are many reasons why a seller may need to sell quickly – either a job transfer, a divorce, a marriage, a pregnancy or some other change in their life’s circumstances.

For more information on purchasing properties at “wholesale”, download my free report now >>>>>

“To Your Success!”
mary!

Curious as to how you can take advantage of current market conditions? Click here now!

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Will A Loan Modification Prevent Foreclosure?

Wednesday
March 10, 2010

It has been nearly a year since the Treasury Dept issued their guidelines for lenders to offer struggling homeowners a loan modification under the Home Affordable Mortgage Program (HAMP). While it seemed like a real answer to the foreclosure crisis when it was first introduced, it has actually had a very minimal impact on the problem. The word out on the street is that only about 10% of all applications have been approved as a trial loan modification. And only 5% of all temporary loan applications have gone on to become permanent. 

The paperwork involved in a loan modification is similar to refinancing the loan. However, the borrower also needs to write a ‘hardship’ letter explaining how circumstances have changed since they were first approved for the loan and why the lender should agree to a loan modification.

It is almost certain that if a borrower is current with their payments, the lender will not even consider a modification. And while that may not make much sense, the banks are just so overwhelmed dealing with delinquent loans that they just cannot work with a borrower that is current.

To qualify under HAMP, the loan cannot be a jumbo loan (i.e. more than $417,000 when it was placed). It also must be owned or serviced by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Should your loan not meet these criteria, you can still approach the lender about doing a custom modification. However, you are essentially asking the lender to cut off a huge hunk of principal – and the likelihood of them agreeing to that is anyone’s guess.

Most trial loan modifications reduce the interest the borrower is paying – thereby lowering the interest rate. Principal reductions are not being done. However, lenders may agree to a forbearance agreement where you simply don’t make payments for a period of time. Typically, those payments and the interest gets tacked on to the end of the loan.

Although an attorney can be helpful in explaining your rights and various options available to you, you do not need an attorney to negotiate with your lender. You can do that for yourself. And the money you spend on an attorney may be money you need to put food on the table or keep the heat and lights turned on. Utility companies tend to be far less lenient then lenders when it comes time to disconnect their services.

To review your other options in avoiding foreclosure, click here now.

“To Your Success!”
mary!

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One Historic Step Towards Fair Housing In Chicago

Tuesday
March 9, 2010

 

The Lorraine Hansberry House

The Lorraine Hansberry House

Last month, Chicago’s City Council declared the home of Lorraine Hansberry at 6140 S. Rhodes an historic landmark. She authored the acclaimed play “A Raisin In The Sun” – which was inspired in large part by her family’s three-year legal battle for the right to purchase this property.  At the time – during the late 1930′s - Woodlawn was a predominantly white neighborhood. The Hansberrys’ purchase of the property culminated in 1940 with a U.S. Supreme Court decision that helped end discriminatory housing covenants in the city.

The home was granted landmark status as part of the city’s recognition of the city’s Black Renaissance Literary Movement of the mid-twentieth century. In addition to The Lorraine Hansberry House, Gwendolyn Brooks home at 7438 S. Evans Ave and The Richard Wright House at 4831 S. Vincennes were also recognized.

Properties given landmark status are protected from significant alterations and are eligible for preservation incentives.

“To Your Success!”
mary!

Underwater on your mortgage? Curious as to whether or not you should continue to make your payments? Click here now!

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Should You ‘Strategically Default’ On Your Mortgage?

Monday
March 1, 2010

According to new research by First American CoreLogic, homeowners whose homes are worth less than 75% of the mortgage owed are most likely to just walk away from the property and let it fall into foreclosure – even if theycan afford to pay. So, if you have a mortgage of $400,000 on your home, and it is now worth $300,000 or less, you will begin to seriously consider what these days is being called “a strategic default” – even if you are fully capable of making your payments. In essence, you are choosing to preserve capital as opposed to throwing good money after bad.

The report goes on to say that more than 4 million homeowners are currently underwater on their mortgages - i.e. the mortgage amount is higher than the property is worth. With the slow recovery and housing market’s long trek back, many of these homes may never recover their value. And that number – 4 million - could  jump to over 5 million as the recovery continues to lag. 5 million homes represents 10% of the total number of homeowners in America!

And while it may seem like a good idea to simply “mail your keys back” to the lender, most states allow the lender to come after you for a deficiency judgment for the difference between what they get in a foreclosure sale vs. what you owe. That means – using our previous example  - if you owe $400,000 and, in the foreclosure process, the bank ends up with $200,000, they can come after you for the balance owed. Which means they are able to attach your other assets. And, of course, not only will they look at what the property sold for vs. what you owe, they will add in late fees, penalities, interest, attorney fees, holding costs, etc. to that final number.

Now the final amount can always be “settled” – and it seems likely that the lender will accept something less than the total amount they say you owe. (Although what makes sense and what banks actually DO seem to have little to do with each other.) No doubt, you will need to hire an attorney to represent you in the lawsuit – so you will incur legal fees as well. In the meantime, you are playing Russian Roulette with your entire asset portfolio – looking down the barrel of a loaded gun waiting for the trigger to be pulled. Not an easy scenario for most people to live with.

And, of course, your credit history will also take a beating – though once the lawsuit is settled, you can rebuild that over time. However, you could easily be looking at a 5-10 year window of negative credit consequences.  

So, the consequences of “just walking away” are pretty severe. It seems like a better solution would be to work with the bank to negotiate a short sale – assuming you’ve decided to move on and abandon the home. Otherwise, you may want to negotiate a loan modification. And while those programs haven’t met with much success (the lender isn’t likely to agree to a loan modification if you are still able to afford your payments), it’s always worth a try.

Another option you may want to look into is declaring bankruptcy. Now, if you can afford to make your payments and you still have a positive net worth after deducting the liability of your home, bankruptcy is NOT a practical solution. However, a bankruptcy does have the advantage of more quicklygetting you out from under the onus of your underwater mortgage and MAY allow you to restore your credit more quickly. Of course,  you will want to consult with an attorney that specializes in bankruptcy before taking such a drastic step.

If even 20% of the 5 million homeowners that are underwater choose to ‘strategically default’ on their homes, it will most likely change the mortgage industry as we know it. The days of buying with only a 10% downpayment - or even a 20% down payment - may disappear forever.

mary!

For more information to help you decide whether or not you should sell your home in this environment, click here now.

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